Nr 1 (10) 2014
Social Policy
POLAND IN TIMES OF UNCERTAINTY
Table of Contents 1/2014 English Edition
PREFACE – Paweł Poławski
INTRICACIES OF INSTRUMENTAL REASONING – Kazimierz W. Frieske
WELFARE STATE REFORMS AND THE PRODUCTION OF UNCERTAINTY – Paweł Poławski
TECHNOLOGY IMPACT ASSESSMENT IN THE AGE OF UNCERTAINTY: EPISTEMOLOGICAL CHALLENGE AS A POLITICAL CHALLENGE – Agata Stasik
BABY BOOMERS AND GENERATION Y – THE PERSPECTIVE OF OLD AGE – Zofia Szweda-Lewandowska
SECURITY OR UNCERTAINTY THROUGH DIVERSITY? THE CASE OF THE PENSION SYSTEM – Dariusz Zalewski
RISK, INCOME INEQUALITY AND THREATS FOR THE LEGITIMACY OF A SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEM – Jędrzej Stasiowski
FLEXIBILITY IS IN PLACE – WHAT ABOUT SECURITY? POLISH FLEXICURITY – Maciej Pańków
CAPITALISM ON ITS OWN. DEVELOPMENT OF MORTGAGE MARKET IN POLAND AS A PROCESS OF FINANCIALIZATION OF HOUSEHOLDS – Mikołaj Lewicki
THE MIDDLE CLASS AND THE EXPERIENCE OF FLEXIBILITY – Maciej Gdula
Preface
Modern societies do not only become „risk societies”, but also „uncertainty societies”. Demographic processes and the consequences of more or less planned changes in the labour market lead to the fact that it is not only hard to predict and work out individual life plans, but also to define the future basis for welfare of households. The same processes hinder the development of social policy in many areas, and the concept of „social risks” used by many researchers and social policy makers requires revision. We cope with risk by using traditional systems of social security. But are relevant institutions prepared for the new phenomena and problems in the social structure that are caused by uncertainty?
All the authors who contributed to this issue of „Social Policy” attempt at answering the questions:
– what are the basic dimensions of uncertainty in contemporary Poland?
– how adequately can we diagnose and describe various risks?
– what are the consequences of the rise of various dimensions of uncertainty for social policy?
– to what extent can we consciously manage risks and uncertainties?
As a consequence, the authors are not only interested in description of empirically detectable regularities, but also in conceptual problems – especially the meaning of terms, which are often used in the public and professional discourse. It seems that uncertainty (just like various social risks) has unequal impact on different social groups. The generational dimension of risk has received particular attention lately, especially due to the problems that clearly affect people who enter adulthood, try to become independent and to secure their position in the labour market. The texts offer a reflection on the difference in the consequences of uncertainty for different generations. The articles propose a reflection on the extent to which it is a structural problem or accidental factors that shape the situation of subsequent age cohorts within the Polish society.
Another common topic is built around the question of the extent to which various kinds of uncertainty are generated by the nature of social changes and modernisation that takes place in Poland. It seems that we are currently able to reconstruct unintended consequences of the change and their hidden functions more accurately. It is worth searching for the answers to the question of the extent to which modernisation plays a negative role, and to what extent – paradoxically – the fear of increasing uncertainty allows institutions that are undergoing changes to become stabilised. Social changes are both endo– and exogenic in nature. It is worth reflecting to what extent social problems and tension that can be observed in contemporary Poland stem from external causes, and to what extent they have their locally specific nature.
The above issues were discussed at the conference entitled „Poland in Times of Uncertainty: Modernisation of Institutions and Problems of Generations” that was organised in November 2012 by the Committee on Sociology of the Polish Academy of Sciences and the Institute of Sociology of the University of Warsaw. The texts in the present issue of “Social Policy” are an extension and continuation of that discussion.
PAWEŁ POŁAWSKI
Institute of Labour and Social Studies, Warsaw, Poland
Institute of Sociology, University of Warsaw, Poland
We recommend the papers:
Kazimierz W. Frieske
INTRICACIES OF INSTRUMENTAL REASONING
In the first part of the paper plurality of ‘narrations’ concerning reality is indicated both in public debates and core social sciences. In the second part author suggests that diversity of such ‘narrations’ is founded either on ‘progressive’ thinking including our beliefs in possibility to manage public affairs with such means as ‘rationalization’, forecasting, risk assessment, evidence based decision making, etc. or on uncertainty and social institutions providing patterns of coping with such uncertainty.
Keywords: narrativism, rationalization, progress, risk, uncertainty
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WELFARE STATE REFORMS AND THE PRODUCTION OF UNCERTAINTY
The text shows how managerialism related to various paradoxes and inconsistencies of the welfare state reforms interfere with new areas of uncertainty. The reforms have not solved the problems that affect the welfare state for nearly half a century, nor they increased social security and stability of welfare institutions. What’s more – the state itself creates areas of uncertainty, contributing to the strengthening of existing inequalities and social divisions. The situation in Poland does not differ in this respect from the general trends. The text is a review and refers to the U. Beck concept of “Manufactured uncertainties”.
Keywords: governance, uncertainty, risk, welfare state, new public management, governance
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Capability to create innovative technologies is commonly perceived as a basis for sustainable economic and social development. However, due to potentially destabilizing effects of new technologies, it is crucial to exercise risk and uncertainty assessment. Acknowledgment of limits of scientific predictions in case of radical innovation in complex environment results in withdrawal of absolute trust in experts’ judgment. It may lead to more inclusive process of assessment in the framework of “hybrid forum”. Creation of more inclusive institutions with real power to influence the technological policy may be perceived as a challenge parallel to the development of technology – not less important part of authentic modernization of the state.
Keywords: uncertainty; risk; technology impact assessment; innovations; participation
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Zofia Szweda-Lewandowska
ABY BOOMERS AND GENERATION Y – THE PERSPECTIVE OF OLD AGE
Under consideration of this article are the possible scenarios of the last stage of life cycle of two generations – baby boomers and children of baby boomers. The uncertainty associated with the lack of stability and predictability of medium and long term influence the choices and decisions made by the baby boomers born in 1980s. The decisions and choices about career paths and family affect the old age of the current 20– and 30-year-olds. The uncertainty related to daily life makes the young people do not decide to start a family and having children. Occupational instability and low income affect health. These two factors – employment and family status – are the main determinants of the future old age of this generation – lonely, poor and reliant. On the other hand, baby boomers, whose life was characterized by a higher – than today – certainly and predictability future, are approaching old age. Aging of this generation will be – compared with the next the generations – richer and not so lonely.
Keywords: life cycle, baby boomers, children of baby boomers, employment and family status
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- Szukalski P. (2009), Czy w Polsce nastąpi powrót do prostej zastępowalności pokoleń?, [Will the generation replacement rate be restored in Poland?], “Folia Oeconomica”, no. 231.
- Szukalski P. (2012), Aktywność zawodowa, [Professional activity], in: M. Mossakowska, A. Więcek, P. Błędowski, PolSenior. Aspekty medyczne, psychologiczne, socjologiczne i ekonomiczne starzenia się ludzi w Polsce [PolSenior. Medical, psychological, sociological and economic aspects of population ageing in Poland], terMedia, Poznań.
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Dariusz Zalewski
SECURITY OR UNCERTAINTY THROUGH DIVERSITY? THE CASE OF THE PENSION SYSTEM
This article is concerning the changes of polish pension system set in motion in 1999. The pension systems has been divided two pillars, established on a ‘pay-as-you-go’ basis on the one hand, and ‘funded’ financing on the second. This division was described in new program system “Security through Diversity”. The main conclusion is, on the base of theory of social systems, that the pensioners security depends on broadly defined environment of pension system rather than internal configuration new pension system.
Keywords: polish pension system, internal configuration
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Jędrzej Stasiowski
RISK, INCOME INEQUALITY AND THREATS FOR THE LEGITIMACY OF A SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEM
Author presents arguments, based on the theoretical concepts and other empirical works, for the hypothesis that growing income inequality increases the risk of weakening the legitimacy of a political and economic system: growing income inequalities can lead to real conflicts or cause weakening of democratic institutions by undermining their legitimacy, what can be seen in the decline of a support for the government institutions. Given thesis is illustrated by the results of the analysis of the Polish survey data: people who perceive and negatively evaluate income inequality, present at the same time less favorable opinions on the political and economic system, which authorizes existing inequalities.
Keywords: income inequality perception, political legitimacy, risk
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Maciej Pańków
FLEXIBILITY IS IN PLACE – WHAT ABOUT SECURITY? POLISH FLEXICURITY
Since 70ies the fordist model of industrial relations, which had emerged after the Second World War and ensured stable employment and social guarantees for employees, has collapsed. Globalised economy dictates new, flexible labour regimes. Enterprises strive to gain freedom to dismiss employees, if their further employment is not viable. The idea of flexicurity, or flexible security, assumes that public policy compensate these tendencies. Agreements ought to be flexible, but also offer transparent rules of the game. People losing jobs can count on support in requalification and seeking new employment opportunities. They should also obtain benefits making possible to cope with a difficult situation. It appears that these assumptions are difficult to fulfil, especially in new EU member states, including Poland.
Keywords: labour market, flexicurity, employment protection, employment flexibility, social protection
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Mikołaj Lewicki
CAPITALISM ON ITS OWN. DEVELOPMENT OF MORTGAGE MARKET IN POLAND AS A PROCESS OF FINANCIALIZATION OF HOUSEHOLDS
„Family on its own” – a label of the government’s program supporting young mortgagors defines neatly the social, political and economic transformation, associated with the housing question in Poland. Tighter and more complex intermingling of financial and housing markets indicates processes of the households financialization: universal banks’ capitalization through the mortgage debt of households seems to delineate future tendencies that push the banks towards households’ offers rather than towards provision of capital for commercial investment. The state, deregulating the market and pulling back from an active role on the housing market throughout 1990-ties and at the threshold of the new millennium, has become much more active in promotion of the stronger dependencies between financial and housing markets, mainly through the governmental programs supporting individual (households’) inverstment in the purchase of an apartment but also – taking a specific role of the “FIRE – extinguisher” on the financial market securing its liquidity in times of crisis. As a consequence, as my hypothesis claims, households in Poland will be submitted to the processes of their “liquidation”.
Keywords: housing question, financialization, mortgage, financial markets, liquidation of the household
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Maciej Gdula
THE MIDDLE CLASS AND THE EXPERIENCE OF FLEXIBILITY
Article presents the effects of research on life trajectories of young middle class representatives confronted with flexible working conditions. The research was based on collecting life-stories with representatives of different fractions of the middle class. Two different trajectories of the middle class are identified. The differences concern the character of link between education and labor market, stability of labor relations and possibilieties of carrier planning. Analysis of middle class trajectories enables to present the complexity of flexible life and working conditions when it comes both to structural features and the character of personal experiences.
Keywords: middle class, flexible working conditions, biography
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List of Contributions
KAZIMIERZ W. FRIESKE – Ph.D. in Sociology in 1987, habilitation in 1991. Professor at the University of Warsaw from 1995. Service as Director of the Institute of Sociology (University of Warsaw) from 1993 to 1998. Vice–Dean of Faculty of Philosophy and Sociology from 1996–1998. Member of several Polish Academy of Sciences Committees, such as Committee on Sociology (Vice-President for 2004–2007), and Committee on Social Policy. From 1999 onwards Edi tor in Chief, Social Policy Monthly. Over 40 years of teaching and research in the area of social sciences, mostly in social theory and applied sociology as well as social policy, deviance sociology and sociology of law. Particular research experiences confirmed by number of publications, both books and papers, in the field of knowledge use and theory of knowledge. About 80 scholarly publications, some of them translated into English, Italian and Japanese. Proven managerial capabilities in the field of R & D. Several books and number of papers, among them works of such authors as H. Simon, K. Boulding, B. Guy Peters, A. Sen, translated from English into Polish. Number of scholar ships and teaching positions at foreign universities, such as University of Pittsburgh, Duquesne University, Kent State University, University of Wisconsin. Number of research programs funded and carried out, such as Patterns of Social Problems Solving (’97–’98); Models of Collective Labour Relations(’99); Utopias of Inclusion: How Social Programs Work? (2001–2003).
MACIEJ GDULA – Ph.D. sociologist, works as associated professor at the Institute of Sociology, University of Warsaw. His main fields of interest are social theory and social structure. In his works he focuses on transformation of class system in Poland and life-styles of particular classes. He emphasizes the role of the middle class in contemporary Poland and investigates its genealogy and life-word.
MIKOŁAJ LEWICKI – works at the Institute of Sociology, University of Warsaw; his doctoral dissertation concerned theories of social time applied to the analysis of the Polish modernization after 1989; focuses on the economic sociology – construction and transformation of the market economy in Central and Eastern Europe; for the last three years studied various aspects of mortgage credit.
MACIEJ PAŃKÓW – graduated from the Institute of Sociology, University of Warsaw. PhD candidate at the Warsaw School of Economics. His scientific interests focus on the industrial relations, atypical forms of employment and transformation of the contemporary labour markets in the context of the decline of fordism. Correspondent of the Eurofound and participant of the number of research and evaluation projects regarding public policy as analyst and researcher.
PAWEŁ POŁAWSKI – is Assistant Professor at the Institute of Labour and Social Studies and at the Institute of Sociology, Warsaw University where he also administers the extra mural master programme. In his academic career he held the positions of Secretary of the Polish Academy of Science’ Committee on Sociology, and Secretary of Sociology of Deviation and Social Control section of the Polish Sociological Association. Polawski is the author of articles and reports on social problems and public policies ranging from unemployment, poverty and income inequality, under class and social exclusion issues, to drug and alcohol problems. He teaches social problems and deviance courses as well as methods of social intervention. His current research focus on three subjects: the effectiveness of labor and welfare policy in Poland; problems of governance and participatory policy-making, and informal economy, non-registered employment and it’s relation to social exclusion. Polawski co-authored (with Kazimierz Frieske) Control and Care. Institutions and social problems, and edited a volume on Civil Society institutions in Poland (Third sector: the facade and reality).
AGATA STASIK – Ph.D candidate in sociology (University of Warsaw), assistant at Koźmiński University. She is interested in co-evolution of technology and society. In her current research, she employs STS (social studies of science and technology) perspective to investigate knowledge creation and social conflict on energy technology in Poland, mainly shale gas/fracking controversy.
JĘDRZEJ STASIOWSKI – sociologist, social researcher, PhD student at the Institute of Sociology at the University of Warsaw. His research interests include research methodology, social inequalities and public policy analysis.
ZOFIA SZWEDA-LEWANDOWSKA – a graduate of IT and Econometrics as well as Sociology at the University of Lodz. Currently she is a PhD research fellow at the Unit of Demography and Social Gerontology, University of Lodz. Her research areas include: population ageing, institutional forms of assistance to the elderly, nursing homes, discrimination against older people, active ageing. She is an author of more than 30 publications in the field of social gerontology.
DARIUSZ ZALEWSKI – is Assistant Professor of Sociology in the Department of Philosophy and Sociology at the University of Warsaw and at the Institute of Labour and Social Study. He received his PhD (2002) from Warsaw University on the base of the dissertation Public Assistance. Dynamics of the Institution. His research fields include both social policy issues and collective industrial relations: history and future of the welfare state institutions, welfare reform, social dialogue and bar gaining agreements. He has participated in several research national and international projects concerned the poverty, exclusion as well as social dialogue institutions in industrial relations.
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